गुरुवार, 20 जुलाई 2023

US -China Relations.

# US-China Relations: A Complex and Dynamic Relationship

## Introduction

The relationship between the United States and China is widely recognized as the most important bilateral relationship of the 21st century. The two countries are the world's largest and second largest economies respectively, and have mutual political, economic, and security interests. However, they also have unresolved concerns and different views on issues such as Taiwan, human rights, trade, and regional influence. The relationship is marked by both cooperation and competition, and has undergone significant changes since the establishment of the People's Republic of China (PRC) in 1949. This essay will provide a brief overview of the history and current state of US-China relations, and discuss some of the major challenges and opportunities for the future.

## History

The history of US-China relations can be divided into four phases:

- **Pre-1949**: The US established diplomatic relations with China in 1844, and supported China's sovereignty and territorial integrity against foreign aggression. The US also promoted the Open Door Policy, which advocated equal access to China's market for all countries. However, the US also had conflicts with China over issues such as immigration, extraterritoriality, and missionary activities.
- **1949-1972**: After the victory of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in the Chinese Civil War and the retreat of the Nationalist government to Taiwan, the US refused to recognize the PRC and maintained diplomatic ties with Taiwan. The US also supported Taiwan's defense against possible mainland invasion, and opposed China's entry into the United Nations. The US and China fought each other during the Korean War (1950-1953) and the Vietnam War (1955-1975), and had tense confrontations over issues such as Tibet, Taiwan Strait crises, and nuclear weapons.
- **1972-2000**: The US and China began a process of rapprochement in 1971, when then-National Security Advisor Henry Kissinger made a secret visit to Beijing to arrange a meeting between President Nixon and Chairman Mao Zedong. Nixon's historic visit to China in 1972 marked a breakthrough in US-China relations, and paved the way for the normalization of diplomatic ties in 1979. The US and China established common interests in opposing Soviet expansionism, promoting economic development, and maintaining regional stability. The US also adopted a one-China policy, which acknowledged China's position that there is only one China and Taiwan is part of it, but did not recognize China's sovereignty over Taiwan. The US continued to sell arms to Taiwan under the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979, which angered China. The US and China also had disagreements over issues such as human rights, trade imbalances, intellectual property rights, and arms sales to other countries.
- **2000-present**: The US and China entered a new phase of relations in the 21st century, characterized by deeper interdependence, but also greater competition. The two countries cooperated on issues such as counterterrorism, nonproliferation, climate change, public health, and global governance. However, they also faced growing frictions over issues such as Taiwan, Hong Kong, Xinjiang, Tibet, South China Sea, cyber security, trade practices, human rights, democracy promotion, and regional influence. The relationship became more strained under the Trump administration (2017-2021), which adopted a more confrontational approach toward China on various fronts. The Biden administration (2021-present) has signaled a more nuanced and multilateral approach toward China, but has also maintained that strategic competition is the frame through which it views its relationship with the PRC.

## Current State

The current state of US-China relations is complex and dynamic. On one hand, the two countries have common interests in addressing global challenges such as climate change, pandemic response,
nuclear proliferation, terrorism, and economic recovery. On the other hand,
the two countries have divergent interests and values on issues such as Taiwan,
human rights,
trade,
technology,
and regional security.
The two countries are also engaged in a strategic competition for influence
and leadership in the Asia-Pacific
and beyond.
The two countries have maintained high-level dialogues
and exchanges
to manage their differences
and explore areas of cooperation.
However,
they have also experienced tensions
and incidents
that have raised concerns
about the risk of escalation
or conflict.

## Challenges

The challenges facing US-China relations are numerous
and multifaceted.
Some of the major challenges include:

- **Taiwan**: Taiwan is considered by China as a renegade province
that must be reunified with the mainland,
by force if necessary.
The US, however, considers Taiwan as a democratic partner
and a vital security interest
in the region.
The US has pledged to help Taiwan defend itself
under the Taiwan Relations Act
and the Six Assurances,
and has increased its arms sales
and official contacts
with Taiwan in recent years.
China has responded by increasing its military pressure
and diplomatic isolation
of Taiwan,
and by warning the US not to cross its red lines.
The situation in the Taiwan Strait is volatile
and could trigger a crisis
or a war
between the US and China.

- **Human Rights**: The US and China have different views
on human rights
and democracy.
The US has criticized China for its repression
of ethnic minorities in Xinjiang and Tibet,
its crackdown on pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong,
its suppression of dissent and civil society on the mainland,
and its interference in the internal affairs of other countries.
The US has imposed sanctions
and visa restrictions
on Chinese officials and entities
involved in human rights abuses,
and has supported international efforts
to hold China accountable.
China has rejected the US criticism as interference
in its internal affairs,
and has accused the US of hypocrisy
and double standards.
China has also retaliated by imposing counter-sanctions
and visa restrictions
on US officials and entities,
and by undermining the credibility and effectiveness of international human rights mechanisms.

- **Trade**: The US and China have a large and complex trade relationship,
but also have disputes over trade practices and policies.
The US has accused China of unfair trade practices,
such as currency manipulation, subsidies, dumping, intellectual property theft, forced technology transfer, market access barriers, and industrial espionage.
The US has imposed tariffs
and restrictions
on Chinese imports and investments,
and has launched investigations and lawsuits against China at the World Trade Organization (WTO).
China has denied the US allegations,
and has argued that the US is trying to contain China's economic rise.
China has also imposed counter-tariffs
and restrictions
on US exports and companies,
and has challenged the US actions at the WTO.
The two countries reached a partial trade deal in 2020,
known as the Phase One Agreement,
which committed China to increase its purchases of US goods and services,
and to make some reforms on intellectual property rights, technology transfer, agriculture, and financial services.
However, the deal did not address the structural issues of the trade relationship,
and its implementation has been uneven and uncertain.

- **Technology**: The US and China are competing for technological innovation and dominance,
especially in emerging fields such as artificial intelligence, biotechnology, quantum computing, 5G, and space exploration.
The US has expressed concerns about China's technological ambitions,
such as its Made in China 2025 plan,
its Civil-Military Fusion strategy,
its Digital Silk Road initiative,
and its Belt and Road Initiative.
The US has also accused China of using cyberattacks, espionage, and coercion to steal or acquire sensitive US technology and data.
The US has taken measures to protect its technological edge and national security,
such as restricting Chinese access to US technology, research, education, and markets;
supporting domestic innovation and R&D;
forming alliances and partnerships with like-minded countries;
and promoting international standards and norms for emerging technologies.
China has denied the US accusations,
and has claimed that the US is trying to hinder China's technological development and innovation.
China has also taken measures to enhance its technological capabilities and resilience,
such as investing in domestic R&D and innovation;
diversifying its sources of supply and demand;
developing alternative technologies and platforms;
expanding its global influence and outreach;
and advocating for multilateral cooperation and governance for emerging technologies.

- **Regional Security**: The US and China have different interests and perspectives on regional security issues in the Asia-Pacific,
such as the South China Sea, the East China Sea, the Korean Peninsula, Afghanistan, Myanmar, India-Pakistan, Iran, etc.
The US has maintained a strong military presence and alliance network in the region,
and has supported the freedom of navigation and overflight, the peaceful resolution of disputes, the rule of law, and the denuclearization of North Korea.
The US has also conducted joint exercises, patrols, arms sales, capacity building, and diplomatic initiatives with its allies and partners in the region.
China has asserted its sovereignty and interests in the region,
and has pursued a more active and assertive foreign policy,
such as building artificial islands and military facilities in the South China Sea, enforcing its maritime claims in the East China Sea, supporting economic development and infrastructure projects under the Belt and Road Initiative, mediating conflicts and crises in neighboring countries, etc.
China has also modernized its military capabilities and posture in the region,
such as developing anti-access/area denial weapons systems, expanding its naval fleet and air force, conducting frequent exercises and patrols near disputed areas or sensitive zones, etc.

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